Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 74.334501 83.455420 92.812496 103.099442 114.061502 125.365643 137.875427
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 59.942364 72.982713 86.993281 103.042824 120.800833 139.737794 161.349291
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 51.766111 67.013281 83.961667 103.945959 126.625318 151.343640 180.104485
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 44.383275 60.912324 79.877282 102.827267 129.452927 159.013015 193.962475
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 39.879785 57.605659 78.504800 104.346552 134.866426 169.247977 210.405806
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 36.363570 55.093259 77.732794 106.268572 140.496585 179.538553 226.765431
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 31.979626 51.071014 74.778948 105.271267 142.435054 185.363618 237.835639
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 27.546462 46.578499 70.900830 102.842734 142.406018 188.681294 245.823038
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 26.175248 46.044571 71.936990 106.414008 149.567207 200.447385 263.681942
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 24.548052 45.003851 72.201318 108.924482 155.370330 210.565462 279.595009
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 21.757953 42.078237 69.794044 107.870410 156.643968 215.157913 288.889155
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 19.261733 39.360490 67.490563 106.800229 157.776343 219.488737 297.802936
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 17.387631 37.449919 66.215370 107.043177 160.575232 225.903806 309.324150
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 15.686638 35.659175 65.000122 107.285769 163.323316 232.235409 320.751376
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 14.338423 34.308414 64.317281 108.171274 166.845321 239.491786 333.289460
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 12.569301 32.080107 62.228630 107.030034 167.653799 243.314157 341.593340
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 11.654935 31.235669 62.124827 108.586507 171.966717 251.513311 355.277898
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 10.915702 30.632602 62.338312 110.556272 176.811065 260.383122 369.807370
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 9.560944 28.751279 60.492188 109.534272 177.618436 264.105070 377.938878
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 8.041695 26.357413 57.703126 107.045258 176.365637 265.134330 382.666097
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 7.863300 26.629578 59.156195 110.705289 183.436216 276.839698 400.767738
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 7.489942 26.458774 59.871447 113.277470 189.030747 286.662300 416.536629
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 6.498175 24.850320 58.150070 112.197556 189.590641 289.964082 424.095635